Dark Stats

Chiang Mai's air runs 3.6x the WHO limit year-round and the world's second-worst in season. Priced as a chronic dose, it costs over a year of life.

Living alone raises mortality risk by a third, and the most exposed cohort abroad is the one no dataset counts. The sourced mechanism, stated cold.

No agency counts how many retirees stay, so model it: 100 arrivals decay to 54 in place at 75, 18 at 85. The stay-curve, with its bands stated.

One legally mandated dataset of deaths abroad exists, and by statute it excludes the death the aging expat is likeliest to have. The sourced count.

At 65, a regional health plan costs about half what an international one does. The Philippines-vs-Thailand gap is real locally and gone globally. Sourced.

Healthcare costs in the Philippines climb 16% a year, in Thailand about 11% — both far above CPI. The trend rate, not today's cheap bill, decides whether the plan survives to 80.

There is no single 'FX decline' but a currency-by-country matrix, and one cell has no defence. The 18-year carry of a sterling and a dollar pension.

Two identical UK pensioners, two Southeast Asian countries, one pension frozen for life. The sourced decade of what the freeze has already cost.

No agency counts how many Western retirees leave Thailand or the Philippines. The silent cohort, triangulated from three directions, uncertainty stated.

Expat health cover is cheap while you don't need it and fails when you do. The cross-insurer age curve, and the year the premium overtakes the pension.

The retire-abroad budget is a snapshot sold as a trajectory. A transparent 25-year drawdown model, every assumption shown, the year the margin hits zero.